Since 2014, many corporations have utilized in California for testing self-driving vehicles. The listing of corporations which have acquired a allow can be utilized as a measure for the innovation course of related to autonomous car know-how. The graph under reveals how the variety of corporations lively in California has solely elevated progressively from 2014 to the third quarter of 2016. A steep enhance follows in 2017. The slope softens within the first half of 2018.
In fact it could be untimely to conclude that we’re already seeing the start of the tip of the S-curve which is so typical for innovation processes. And the California AV permits can solely be seen as a proxy for the bigger distributed self-driving car innovation course of at the moment unfolding internationally.
Lively California AV permits by month (Information from California DMV) Up to date: 2018-11-18 (you may must reload your browser to see the most recent model)
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However neither the variety of California AV permits nor the variety of corporations offering self-driving car options will develop indefinitely. The time will come the place the business strikes into the subsequent part, the place the exploratory modes of growth can be changed by extra systematic, managerial approaches and the place commercialization would be the major focus. A shakeout is inevitable. Time could also be operating out for many who nonetheless wish to leap onto the self-driving automotive prepare…
Notes:
– 58 permits have been issued by the tip of June 2018; One allow has not been renewed (Uber), making it 57 lively permits.
Updates:
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-2018-11-18: By the tip of October 2018, the variety of lively permits elevated to 60.
– 2018-09-07: By the tip of August 2018, Mando America Company acquired a allow, growing the variety of lively permits to 56.
– 2018-08-07: By the tip of July 2018, 2 corporations didn’t renew their permits (Wheego Electrical and Bauer’s Clever Transportation) lowering the variety of lively permits to 55.
