Tesla Giga Texas Has Sufficient Batteries For 8,000 Cybertrucks

Tesla introduced every week in the past that Giga Texas (its massive manufacturing unit simply outdoors of Austin, Texas) had produced 10 million of the corporate’s new 4680 battery cells. That seems like rather a lot! Properly, let’s be sincere, that may be a lot! Nevertheless, it’s in all probability not as many as you’d assume on the floor. It’s important to crunch some numbers with the intention to get a way of what that basically means by way of variety of electrical car battery packs, or extra merely, the variety of Tesla autos these cells might energy.

Really, you don’t should crunch the numbers, as a result of Troy has. Tesla stat tracker, quantity geek, and chart creator “Troy Teslike” has put out his estimates for what 10 million 4680 cells means in a broader sense.

To start with, he notes that “5 million cells per thirty days are sufficient for under 6,038/month Mannequin Y SR or 4,058/month Cybertruck SR.” So, 10 million cells could be sufficient for ~12,000 models of the lowest-range Mannequin Y or ~8,000 models of the lowest-range Cybertruck (when that involves market). That doesn’t sound so spectacular. Additionally, in fact, if you happen to needed to incorporate a blended common of longer-range and shorter-range Mannequin Ys or Cybertrucks, the totals could be significantly decrease.

Entering into the main points a bit of additional, Troy Teslike writes, “Primarily based on my calculation, the Cybertruck Commonplace Vary battery pack can have round 1,232 cells and 100 kWh capability. Mannequin Y SR has 828 cells and 67.3 kWh capability.”

And what in regards to the larger image? Tesla Giga Texas is meant to supply 4680 battery cells for the Tesla Cybertruck and different Tesla autos. “That’s 8% of what Giga Texas wants for Mannequin Y and Cybertruck. So, nonetheless, a protracted option to go,” Troy notes. Somebody requested, “Will Cybertruck additionally have the ability to use 2170 cells?” Troy, in fact, doesn’t work for Tesla or know all the things, however he follows the corporate very carefully and will get numerous suggestions. His opinion was easy: “Possibly however there aren’t sufficient 2170 cells both.” Certainly.

With all of that in thoughts, one does surprise if a gradual manufacturing ramp-up of 4680 battery cells might delay Cybertruck manufacturing additional. Naturally, Tesla might get 4680 cells elsewhere, however the concept was that Tesla Giga Texas would produce the cells and the vans. Additionally, whereas Tesla has produced simply 10 million 4680 cells up to now, it might produce 10 million a month in a few months, and 30 million a month not longer after that, and so forth. Or not. We simply don’t know.

So, with this little bit of information, we nonetheless don’t know a lot about the place Tesla can be a yr from now, however including context round what precisely 10 million cells can imply by way of car volumes does assist to see the larger image.

What are your ideas on this? How bullish are you on Tesla 4680 battery manufacturing in Texas and elsewhere?

They’re nonetheless late.

Not together with Semi, mannequin 3 and, most significantly, the small automobile.

— MSH (@mesanabinladen) June 17, 2023